Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 8 JULY MR 75 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Coming In Hot
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Funky Music          4    55.5    1    0.00     0.5   66    64           66    +0
2    After Hours          7    56.5    2    0.75     0.0   68    71           71    +3
3    Coming In Hot        3    57.0    3    2.00     1.0   69    69           69    +0
4    Jp Two Thousand      3    59.0    4    2.05     1.0   73    73           73    +0
5    Nazare               3    58.0    5    4.35     1.0   73    68           68    -5
6    Green Sceptre        2    54.0    6    4.60     0.0   70    62           62    -8
7    Irontail             4    55.5    7    4.80     0.5   66    64           64    -2
8    Carnelo              6    53.5    8    6.40     0.0   62    61           61    -1
9    Severide             3    60.0    9    14.40    1.0   77    72           72    -5
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Funky Music 66 83 66 +17 0.5 -
2 After Hours 68 79 71 +8 0.0 -
3 Coming In Hot Line 69 76 69 +7 1.0
4 Jp Two Thousand 73 61 73 -12 1.0 -
5 Nazare 73 70 68 +2 1.0 -
6 Green Sceptre 70 50 62 -12 0.0 -
7 Irontail 66 64 64 ✓ Match 0.5 -
8 Carnelo 62 75 61 +14 0.0 -
9 Severide 77 73 72 +1 1.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points