Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: WORLD SPORTS BETTING LEADERS IN FIXED ODDS CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Island Treasure
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
7 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 My Flower Fate 3 60.0 1 0.00 1.0 80 75 75 -5 2 Metar 3 56.0 2 0.30 1.0 70 72 72 +2 3 Island Treasure 3 57.5 3 2.05 1.0 73 73 73 +0 4 Philosophise 5 59.5 4 4.55 0.0 79 76 76 -3 5 Alfred's Girl 7 54.5 5 6.80 0.0 67 66 66 -1 6 Symphony Of Light 3 58.5 6 7.10 1.0 75 72 72 -3 7 Copper View 2 59.5 7 7.40 0.0 79 76 76 -3 8 Pucallpa 2 57.0 8 8.65 0.0 74 71 71 -3 9 Call It Fate 3 52.5 9 10.15 1.0 63 60 60 -3 10 Cloud Chaser 3 59.0 10 13.15 1.0 78 73 73 -5 11 Treasure Hunt 6 61.0 11 13.45 0.0 80 79 79 -1 99 Mary Lamb 3 56.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | My Flower Fate | 80 | 86 | 75 | +11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Metar | 70 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Island Treasure Line | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Philosophise | 79 | 80 | 76 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Alfred's Girl | 67 | 65 | 66 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Symphony Of Light | 75 | 75 | 72 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Copper View | 79 | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Pucallpa | 74 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Call It Fate | 63 | 61 | 60 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Cloud Chaser | 78 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Treasure Hunt | 80 | 80 | 79 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mary Lamb | - | 76 | 68 | +8 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points