Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CAPE B STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 94 & below)
Line Horse
Royal Watch
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Coronation Time 2 54.0 1 0.00 0.0 81 74 74 -7 2 Sudden Song 3 54.5 2 0.75 1.5 77 78 78 +1 3 Royal Watch 4 58.5 3 1.25 0.5 88 88 88 +0 4 Night Ruler 3 60.0 4 1.35 1.5 89 88 88 -1 5 Mucho Dinero 2 57.0 5 3.35 0.0 86 83 83 -3 6 Flower Of Saigon 4 57.5 6 4.60 0.5 92 81 82 -10 7 Donder Storm 3 51.5 7 5.85 1.5 63 66 66 +3 8 Follow The Star 5 55.0 8 7.35 0.0 88 76 78 -10 9 Winter Scout 3 52.0 9 9.60 1.5 81 67 71 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coronation Time | 81 | 80 | 74 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sudden Song | 77 | 71 | 78 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Royal Watch Line | 88 | 80 | 88 | -8 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Night Ruler | 89 | 75 | 88 | -13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Mucho Dinero | 86 | 115 | 83 | +32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Flower Of Saigon | 92 | 102 | 82 | +20 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Donder Storm | 63 | 63 | 66 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Follow The Star | 88 | 86 | 78 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Winter Scout | 81 | 80 | 71 | +9 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points