Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: 4RACING.TV MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Someday Maybe
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Raining Rubies 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 57 62 62 +5 2 Inner Sense 2 57.5 2 0.75 0.5 65 56 56 -9 3 Whirlybird 2 57.0 3 2.50 0.5 - 55 55 +55 4 Someday Maybe 3 60.0 4 3.50 1.5 59 59 59 +0 5 Sugary Sweet 2 57.0 5 4.75 0.5 - 55 55 +55 6 Azaleas For All 4 57.0 6 4.80 2.0 - 52 52 +52 7 Midnight Stroll 2 57.0 7 5.25 0.5 - 55 55 +55 8 Heartlight 2 60.0 8 5.75 0.5 56 61 61 +5 9 Punta Alta 2 60.0 9 9.00 0.5 56 61 61 +5 10 Flying Broomstick 3 60.0 10 9.10 1.5 60 59 59 -1 11 Naka Island 2 57.0 11 9.20 0.5 - 55 55 +55 12 Wilkies 2 60.0 12 12.75 0.5 63 61 61 -2 13 Lorna Lilly 3 60.0 13 13.75 1.5 59 59 59 +0 99 One Fell Swoop 2 57.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 55 55 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raining Rubies | 57 | 75 | 62 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Inner Sense | 65 | 59 | 56 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Whirlybird | - | 73 | 55 | +18 | 0.5 | - | |
| 4 | Someday Maybe Line | 59 | 56 | 59 | -3 | 1.5 | ||
| 5 | Sugary Sweet | - | 56 | 55 | +1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Azaleas For All | - | 82 | 52 | +30 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Midnight Stroll | - | - | 55 | -55 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Heartlight | 56 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Punta Alta | 56 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Flying Broomstick | 60 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Naka Island | - | 57 | 55 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Wilkies | 63 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 0.5 | - | |
| 13 | Lorna Lilly | 59 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | One Fell Swoop | - | 97 | 55 | +42 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points