Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: 4RACING.TV MR 81 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Axel Collins
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Covert Operator      6    56.5    1    0.00     0.0   74    75           74    +0
2    Black Egret          3    60.0    2    1.25     1.5   82    79           79    -3
3    Munchkin             5    59.5    3    2.00     0.0   81    81           81    +0
4    Axel Collins         5    56.5    4    3.00     0.0   75    75           75    +0
5    Tre Amici            2    52.5    5    6.25     0.5   72    66           66    -6
6    King Rahul           4    55.5    6    7.50     2.0   87    69           77    -10
7    Esquevelle           3    59.5    7    8.25     1.5   80    78           78    -2
8    Bronco Blitz         3    59.5    8    8.50     1.5   80    78           78    -2
99   Pendragon            5    56.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     75           75    +0
99   Iron Sky             3    57.0    99   0.00     1.5   -     73           73    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Covert Operator 74 77 74 +3 0.0 -
2 Black Egret 82 90 79 +11 1.5 -
3 Munchkin 81 65 81 -16 0.0 -
4 Axel Collins Line 75 55 75 -20 0.0
5 Tre Amici 72 64 66 -2 0.5 -
6 King Rahul 87 63 77 -14 2.0 -
7 Esquevelle 80 86 78 +8 1.5 -
8 Bronco Blitz 80 80 78 +2 1.5 -
99 Pendragon - 73 75 -2 0.0 -
99 Iron Sky - 61 73 -12 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points