Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: 4RACING.TV MR 81 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Axel Collins
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Covert Operator 6 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 74 75 74 +0 2 Black Egret 3 60.0 2 1.25 1.5 82 79 79 -3 3 Munchkin 5 59.5 3 2.00 0.0 81 81 81 +0 4 Axel Collins 5 56.5 4 3.00 0.0 75 75 75 +0 5 Tre Amici 2 52.5 5 6.25 0.5 72 66 66 -6 6 King Rahul 4 55.5 6 7.50 2.0 87 69 77 -10 7 Esquevelle 3 59.5 7 8.25 1.5 80 78 78 -2 8 Bronco Blitz 3 59.5 8 8.50 1.5 80 78 78 -2 99 Pendragon 5 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 75 75 +0 99 Iron Sky 3 57.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Covert Operator | 74 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Black Egret | 82 | 90 | 79 | +11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Munchkin | 81 | 65 | 81 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Axel Collins Line | 75 | 55 | 75 | -20 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Tre Amici | 72 | 64 | 66 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | King Rahul | 87 | 63 | 77 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Esquevelle | 80 | 86 | 78 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Bronco Blitz | 80 | 80 | 78 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Pendragon | - | 73 | 75 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Iron Sky | - | 61 | 73 | -12 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points