Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: SAVAGES FC MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Master Josh
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Master Josh 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.5 79 79 79 +0 2 Thisiswhatitmeans 4 57.0 2 1.10 2.0 - 70 70 +70 3 Gorgeous Guy 2 57.0 3 3.50 0.5 - 73 73 +73 4 Kumemori 5 60.0 4 6.70 0.0 73 80 80 +7 5 Ninety Nine Heros 2 57.0 5 6.95 0.5 - 73 73 +73 6 Prince Of Dubai 2 57.0 6 9.95 0.5 - 73 73 +73 7 Quixote 2 60.0 7 10.45 0.5 72 79 79 +7 8 Campaigner 2 57.0 8 10.85 0.5 - 73 73 +73 9 Ibiza Night 2 60.0 9 11.85 0.5 - 79 79 +79 10 Excalibur Calls 2 60.0 10 12.85 0.5 62 79 79 +17 11 Isorender 2 57.0 11 13.65 0.5 - 73 73 +73 12 Run To Rio 4 57.0 12 15.75 2.0 - 70 70 +70 13 Silver Savage 2 57.0 13 18.95 0.5 - 73 73 +73 14 Kyoto 2 55.5 14 28.65 0.5 - 70 70 +70 15 Red Sea 2 57.0 15 99.99 0.5 - 73 73 +73 99 General Byng 2 57.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Master Josh Line | 79 | 97 | 79 | +18 | 0.5 | ||
| 2 | Thisiswhatitmeans | - | 106 | 70 | +36 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Gorgeous Guy | - | 81 | 73 | +8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 4 | Kumemori | 73 | 71 | 80 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ninety Nine Heros | - | 83 | 73 | +10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Prince Of Dubai | - | 54 | 73 | -19 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Quixote | 72 | 69 | 79 | -10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Campaigner | - | - | 73 | -73 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Ibiza Night | - | 63 | 79 | -16 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Excalibur Calls | 62 | 62 | 79 | -17 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Isorender | - | 63 | 73 | -10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Run To Rio | - | 71 | 70 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Silver Savage | - | 52 | 73 | -21 | 0.5 | - | |
| 14 | Kyoto | - | 38 | 70 | -32 | 0.5 | - | |
| 15 | Red Sea | - | - | 73 | -73 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | General Byng | - | 75 | 73 | +2 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points