Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Venerable
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Safe Space           5    60.0    1    0.00     0.0   66    65           65    -1
2    Johnny The Thief     2    55.0    2    1.05     0.0   -     59           59    +59
3    Venerable            3    60.0    3    1.10     1.5   66    66           66    +0
4    Player X             2    55.0    4    1.50     0.0   -     58           58    +58
5    House Of Romanov     2    55.0    5    2.40     0.0   -     57           57    +57
6    Aberdeen             2    55.0    6    2.70     0.0   -     57           57    +57
7    Power Star           2    58.5    7    3.30     0.0   73    63           63    -10
8    Double Rugged        3    60.0    8    7.80     1.5   60    62           62    +2
9    Red Piano            2    60.0    9    8.30     0.0   67    65           65    -2
10   Torrone              2    55.5    10   13.30    0.0   -     56           56    +56
11   Dance To The Music   3    60.0    11   17.30    1.5   51    62           62    +11
99   Canford Ice          2    55.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     55           55    +0
99   Giants Castle        4    60.0    99   0.00     0.5   -     64           64    +0
99   Gijima Mfana         6    60.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     65           65    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Safe Space 66 83 65 +18 0.0 -
2 Johnny The Thief - 95 59 +36 0.0 -
3 Venerable Line 66 62 66 -4 1.5
4 Player X - 65 58 +7 0.0 -
5 House Of Romanov - 81 57 +24 0.0 -
6 Aberdeen - 74 57 +17 0.0 -
7 Power Star 73 58 63 -5 0.0 -
8 Double Rugged 60 55 62 -7 1.5 -
9 Red Piano 67 63 65 -2 0.0 -
10 Torrone - 63 56 +7 0.0 -
11 Dance To The Music 51 61 62 -1 1.5 -
99 Canford Ice - 82 55 +27 0.0 -
99 Giants Castle - 64 64 ✓ Match 0.5 -
99 Gijima Mfana - 50 65 -15 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points