Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: WORLD SPORTS BETTING LEADERS IN FIXED ODDS CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 68)

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Line Horse
Captive Moon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Ntabazondi           3    58.5    1    0.00     0.5   65    62           62    -3
2    Air Of Royalty       3    55.5    2    1.50     0.5   59    59           59    +0
3    Captive Moon         6    53.0    3    2.50     0.0   54    54           54    +0
4    Veronique            6    55.5    4    2.55     0.0   59    59           59    +0
5    Kimball O'Hara       2    61.0    5    2.60     0.0   72    70           70    -2
6    Poltergeist          3    62.0    6    3.00     0.5   72    71           71    -1
7    Paper Trail          4    59.5    7    3.30     0.5   67    65           65    -2
8    Que Shiraz           3    62.0    8    4.30     0.5   72    69           69    -3
9    Rewrite The Stars    5    58.5    9    4.50     0.0   65    63           63    -2
10   Hang Out The Stars   5    60.5    10   4.90     0.0   71    67           67    -4
11   I'll Slip Away       2    52.0    11   11.65    0.0   54    50           50    -4
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Ntabazondi 65 70 62 +8 0.5 -
2 Air Of Royalty 59 55 59 -4 0.5 -
3 Captive Moon Line 54 75 54 +21 0.0
4 Veronique 59 56 59 -3 0.0 -
5 Kimball O'Hara 72 61 70 -9 0.0 -
6 Poltergeist 72 71 71 ✓ Match 0.5 -
7 Paper Trail 67 60 65 -5 0.5 -
8 Que Shiraz 72 72 69 +3 0.5 -
9 Rewrite The Stars 65 59 63 -4 0.0 -
10 Hang Out The Stars 71 58 67 -9 0.0 -
11 I'll Slip Away 54 51 50 +1 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points