Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 15 JULY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Coming In Hot
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Meet The Captain 4 52.0 1 0.00 2.0 50 51 50 +0 2 Dark Tide 5 54.5 2 0.50 0.0 57 60 60 +3 3 Coming In Hot 3 60.5 3 1.40 1.5 69 69 69 +0 4 Law Of Success 3 57.5 4 1.50 1.5 67 63 63 -4 5 Life Goes On 7 56.0 5 2.75 0.0 60 63 63 +3 6 San Marzano 3 59.5 6 3.25 1.5 68 67 67 -1 7 Gal Gadot 8 54.5 7 3.50 0.0 57 60 60 +3 8 Anytime Champ 3 59.0 8 3.75 1.5 66 66 66 +0 9 Bridge Of Spies 6 52.0 9 6.50 0.0 48 55 55 +7 99 Feather The Nest 4 53.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 53 53 +0 99 Gimme Royalty 3 52.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 52 52 +0 99 Tuscan Gold 2 59.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 68 68 +0 99 After Hours 7 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meet The Captain | 50 | 52 | 50 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Dark Tide | 57 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Coming In Hot Line | 69 | 76 | 69 | +7 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Law Of Success | 67 | 81 | 63 | +18 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Life Goes On | 60 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | San Marzano | 68 | 53 | 67 | -14 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Gal Gadot | 57 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Anytime Champ | 66 | 53 | 66 | -13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Bridge Of Spies | 48 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Feather The Nest | - | 54 | 53 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Gimme Royalty | - | 49 | 52 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Tuscan Gold | - | 84 | 68 | +16 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | After Hours | - | 79 | 73 | +6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points