Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 15 JULY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Coming In Hot
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Meet The Captain     4    52.0    1    0.00     2.0   50    51           50    +0
2    Dark Tide            5    54.5    2    0.50     0.0   57    60           60    +3
3    Coming In Hot        3    60.5    3    1.40     1.5   69    69           69    +0
4    Law Of Success       3    57.5    4    1.50     1.5   67    63           63    -4
5    Life Goes On         7    56.0    5    2.75     0.0   60    63           63    +3
6    San Marzano          3    59.5    6    3.25     1.5   68    67           67    -1
7    Gal Gadot            8    54.5    7    3.50     0.0   57    60           60    +3
8    Anytime Champ        3    59.0    8    3.75     1.5   66    66           66    +0
9    Bridge Of Spies      6    52.0    9    6.50     0.0   48    55           55    +7
99   Feather The Nest     4    53.0    99   0.00     2.0   -     53           53    +0
99   Gimme Royalty        3    52.0    99   0.00     1.5   -     52           52    +0
99   Tuscan Gold          2    59.0    99   0.00     0.5   -     68           68    +0
99   After Hours          7    61.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     73           73    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Meet The Captain 50 52 50 +2 2.0 -
2 Dark Tide 57 53 60 -7 0.0 -
3 Coming In Hot Line 69 76 69 +7 1.5
4 Law Of Success 67 81 63 +18 1.5 -
5 Life Goes On 60 54 63 -9 0.0 -
6 San Marzano 68 53 67 -14 1.5 -
7 Gal Gadot 57 50 60 -10 0.0 -
8 Anytime Champ 66 53 66 -13 1.5 -
9 Bridge Of Spies 48 48 55 -7 0.0 -
99 Feather The Nest - 54 53 +1 2.0 -
99 Gimme Royalty - 49 52 -3 1.5 -
99 Tuscan Gold - 84 68 +16 0.5 -
99 After Hours - 79 73 +6 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points