Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: AIR ZIMBABWE MERIT RATED 78 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Forgotten Time
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 5
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 5
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 5
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jet Mirage 3 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 78 78 78 +0 2 Justadoreher 5 58.0 2 2.50 0.0 74 77 77 +3 3 Forgotten Time 3 56.5 3 3.50 1.5 71 71 71 +0 4 Tradition 4 58.0 4 5.00 2.0 74 73 73 -1 5 Al Mashriq 4 58.0 5 10.00 2.0 74 73 73 -1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jet Mirage | 78 | 100 | 78 | +22 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Justadoreher | 74 | 68 | 77 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Forgotten Time Line | 71 | 76 | 71 | +5 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Tradition | 74 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Al Mashriq | 74 | 71 | 73 | -2 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points