Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 27 JULY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Celtic Rush
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Romeo's Magic 7 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 68 69 68 +0 2 Parker Getrix 4 52.0 2 1.70 0.5 52 55 55 +3 3 The Inkosana 3 55.0 3 2.00 1.5 63 59 59 -4 4 Celtic Rush 5 62.0 4 2.30 0.0 75 75 75 +0 5 The Chosen One 2 55.5 5 4.10 0.0 62 61 61 -1 6 Devilish Dancer 4 52.0 6 5.10 0.5 52 52 52 +0 7 Cerulean Dancer 2 53.5 7 5.30 0.0 57 56 56 -1 8 Treaty 2 52.5 8 5.60 0.0 56 54 54 -2 9 Green Sceptre 2 58.0 9 6.80 0.0 67 65 65 -2 10 Queen Britanna 2 56.0 10 8.70 0.0 63 61 61 -2 11 Azucar 3 55.5 11 8.80 1.5 62 57 57 -5 99 Ashanti Sword 2 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 63 63 +0 99 Skyfull 2 53.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 56 56 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romeo's Magic | 68 | 73 | 68 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Parker Getrix | 52 | 56 | 55 | +1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | The Inkosana | 63 | 67 | 59 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Celtic Rush Line | 75 | 69 | 75 | -6 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | The Chosen One | 62 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Devilish Dancer | 52 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Cerulean Dancer | 57 | 71 | 56 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Treaty | 56 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Green Sceptre | 67 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Queen Britanna | 63 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Azucar | 62 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Ashanti Sword | - | 52 | 63 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Skyfull | - | 54 | 56 | -2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points