Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: TAWNY SYNDICATE FM 99 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Toto
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Hollywoodbound 3 59.0 1 0.00 0.5 97 95 97 +0 2 Zinikele 5 52.5 2 0.80 0.0 86 87 87 +1 3 Hierkommiebokkie 5 52.0 3 1.20 0.0 85 86 86 +1 4 Toto 4 52.0 4 2.40 0.5 83 83 83 +0 5 Valerias Dream 3 53.0 5 3.60 0.5 87 84 84 -3 6 Sashay Away 3 58.5 6 4.65 0.5 96 94 94 -2 7 Bevies Delight 5 59.0 7 5.65 0.0 99 96 96 -3 8 Kailene 3 53.5 8 6.05 0.5 89 84 84 -5 9 Let It Snow 2 53.5 9 11.85 0.0 87 85 85 -2 10 Hawker Typhoon 4 55.0 10 13.25 0.5 89 87 87 -2 11 Shantastic 2 60.0 11 14.35 0.0 101 98 98 -3 99 Acacia's Blossom 2 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 88 88 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollywoodbound | 97 | 101 | 97 | +4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Zinikele | 86 | 89 | 87 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Hierkommiebokkie | 85 | 90 | 86 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Toto Line | 83 | 79 | 83 | -4 | 0.5 | ||
| 5 | Valerias Dream | 87 | 77 | 84 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Sashay Away | 96 | 88 | 94 | -6 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Bevies Delight | 99 | 101 | 96 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Kailene | 89 | 79 | 84 | -5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Let It Snow | 87 | 61 | 85 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Hawker Typhoon | 89 | 89 | 87 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Shantastic | 101 | 109 | 98 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Acacia's Blossom | - | 66 | 88 | -22 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points