Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: THANKS TO THE LOYAL NEW TURF CLIENTS MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Ibutho
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Natyam 5 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 77 75 77 +0 2 Ibutho 7 61.5 2 5.00 0.0 79 79 79 +0 3 Shavout 4 61.0 3 5.15 0.5 78 77 77 -1 4 Justfortheepenny 5 52.0 4 7.15 0.0 60 60 60 +0 5 Teichman 5 58.5 5 8.35 0.0 73 73 73 +0 6 Quick Star 6 54.0 6 9.65 0.0 72 64 64 -8 7 Fine Admiral 3 58.0 7 10.75 1.0 74 70 70 -4 8 Congo Compaq 5 59.0 8 12.45 0.0 74 74 74 +0 9 Wave Warrior 3 58.5 9 12.75 1.0 73 71 71 -2 10 Captain Corrupt 2 60.0 10 13.75 0.0 78 76 76 -2 11 Asaruludu 3 57.0 11 15.25 1.0 75 68 68 -7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natyam | 77 | 102 | 77 | +25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ibutho Line | 79 | 83 | 79 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Shavout | 78 | 70 | 77 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 4 | Justfortheepenny | 60 | 65 | 60 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Teichman | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Quick Star | 72 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fine Admiral | 74 | 73 | 70 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Congo Compaq | 74 | 72 | 74 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Wave Warrior | 73 | 68 | 71 | -3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Captain Corrupt | 78 | 73 | 76 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Asaruludu | 75 | 75 | 68 | +7 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points