Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CALL TELEBET TRACK & BALL FIXED ODDS ON 031 314 1155 MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
If You Say So
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lady Canton 2 55.0 1 0.00 0.0 - 47 6 +6 2 St Cloud 3 60.0 2 2.70 1.5 60 58 58 -2 3 Princess Azariah 2 53.5 3 5.40 0.0 - 44 44 +44 4 If You Say So 3 60.0 4 7.00 1.5 54 54 54 +0 5 Trip To Nebraska 2 60.0 5 7.90 0.0 63 57 57 -6 6 Lady Is A Champ 2 60.0 6 8.10 0.0 56 57 57 +1 7 Free Will 3 60.0 7 8.80 1.5 57 54 54 -3 8 La Dreamer 3 56.0 8 8.85 1.5 50 46 46 -4 9 Queen Jackson 3 60.0 9 9.85 1.5 51 54 54 +3 10 Three Little Birds 2 55.0 10 10.95 0.0 - 47 47 +47 11 Queen's Gambit 3 60.0 11 12.45 1.5 38 54 54 +16 12 Aleeyah's Unicorn 2 60.0 12 19.75 0.0 56 57 57 +1 13 A Touch Of Sugar 2 60.0 13 25.05 0.0 55 57 57 +2 99 Tephra 3 60.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lady Canton | - | 78 | 6 | +72 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | St Cloud | 60 | 73 | 58 | +15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Princess Azariah | - | 62 | 44 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | If You Say So Line | 54 | 57 | 54 | +3 | 1.5 | ||
| 5 | Trip To Nebraska | 63 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lady Is A Champ | 56 | 57 | 57 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Free Will | 57 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | La Dreamer | 50 | 48 | 46 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Queen Jackson | 51 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Three Little Birds | - | 68 | 47 | +21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Queen's Gambit | 38 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Aleeyah's Unicorn | 56 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | A Touch Of Sugar | 55 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tephra | - | 57 | 54 | +3 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points