Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: www.tabgold.co.za MR 77 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Arverni King
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Professor Snape 2 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 81 79 81 +0 2 Quantifier 2 57.0 2 2.50 0.0 78 80 80 +2 3 Arverni King 5 56.5 3 4.10 0.0 77 77 77 +0 4 Twice Golden 5 56.0 4 4.50 0.0 77 75 75 -2 5 Cyber Time 3 57.5 5 4.65 3.5 73 71 71 -2 6 Tin Cup 3 55.5 6 5.05 3.5 69 66 66 -3 7 Riccardo 7 55.0 7 7.85 0.0 67 72 72 +5 8 Tom Bombadil 5 55.0 8 11.15 0.0 67 72 72 +5 9 Twice As Perfect 3 52.0 9 13.05 3.5 54 59 59 +5 10 Aerial Display 5 59.5 10 13.35 0.0 83 81 81 -2 11 Rock Fall 2 59.0 11 17.35 0.0 82 80 80 -2 99 Catch The Tune 6 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 78 78 +0 99 Temperate Zone 2 53.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 69 69 +0 99 Arrow's Mark 6 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Professor Snape | 81 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Quantifier | 78 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Arverni King Line | 77 | 86 | 77 | +9 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Twice Golden | 77 | 84 | 75 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Cyber Time | 73 | 81 | 71 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Tin Cup | 69 | 74 | 66 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Riccardo | 67 | 68 | 72 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tom Bombadil | 67 | 56 | 72 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Twice As Perfect | 54 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Aerial Display | 83 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Rock Fall | 82 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Catch The Tune | - | 70 | 78 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Temperate Zone | - | 74 | 69 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Arrow's Mark | - | 54 | 66 | -12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points