Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 28 JULY FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Isn't It Bliss
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mon Tresor 3 58.5 1 0.00 1.5 63 64 63 +0 2 Executor 5 61.0 2 1.00 0.0 69 72 72 +3 3 Isn't It Bliss 4 53.5 3 1.25 2.0 53 53 53 +0 4 Global Goddess 3 58.0 4 1.35 1.5 61 63 63 +2 5 Esther 3 61.0 5 1.45 1.5 69 69 69 +0 6 Moonstrike 3 53.0 6 1.95 1.5 52 53 53 +1 7 Ride The Lightning 3 59.0 7 2.70 1.5 64 65 65 +1 8 Runningforthestars 5 55.5 8 7.20 0.0 57 61 61 +4 9 On The Guest List 2 60.5 9 7.45 0.5 68 70 70 +2 10 Komesans Passion 4 59.0 10 7.95 2.0 79 64 69 -10 11 Emily's Spirit 2 56.0 11 8.20 0.5 59 61 61 +2 99 Golden Pacific 2 60.5 99 0.00 0.5 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Tresor | 63 | 71 | 63 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Executor | 69 | 87 | 72 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Isn't It Bliss Line | 53 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Global Goddess | 61 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Esther | 69 | 93 | 69 | +24 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Moonstrike | 52 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Ride The Lightning | 64 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Runningforthestars | 57 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | On The Guest List | 68 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Komesans Passion | 79 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Emily's Spirit | 59 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Golden Pacific | - | 93 | 70 | +23 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points