Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST FM 75 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Palm Breeze
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cinnamon Blush 3 54.5 1 0.00 1.5 64 65 64 +0 2 Poursomesugaronme 5 58.0 2 0.60 0.0 72 75 75 +3 3 Palm Breeze 3 58.0 3 0.90 1.5 72 72 72 +0 4 Bright Star 2 59.5 4 1.80 0.5 75 77 77 +2 5 Aspoestertjie 5 58.0 5 2.10 0.0 72 75 75 +3 6 Swiss Paradise 3 53.5 6 3.60 1.5 71 63 63 -8 7 Tiz Magic 2 52.0 7 3.70 0.5 59 62 62 +3 8 Noble Storm 3 59.0 8 5.40 1.5 76 74 74 -2 9 Diamond Girl 4 60.5 9 5.90 2.0 76 76 76 +0 99 Rafeef's Choice 5 60.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cinnamon Blush | 64 | 66 | 64 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Poursomesugaronme | 72 | 77 | 75 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Palm Breeze Line | 72 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Bright Star | 75 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Aspoestertjie | 72 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Swiss Paradise | 71 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Tiz Magic | 59 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Noble Storm | 76 | 78 | 74 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Diamond Girl | 76 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rafeef's Choice | - | 71 | 80 | -9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points