Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: www.trackandball.co.za MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Bayview Express
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 National Dream 6 60.5 1 0.00 0.0 67 62 67 +0 2 Bayview Express 5 60.0 2 1.60 0.0 66 66 66 +0 3 Safe Space 5 61.0 3 4.60 0.0 71 64 64 -7 4 Seattle Beat 4 57.5 4 8.00 0.5 61 55 55 -6 5 Ingakara 5 56.0 5 9.60 0.0 58 53 53 -5 6 Eye Catching 4 55.5 6 14.00 0.5 57 51 51 -6 99 Vengeance Forever 3 55.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 48 48 +0 99 Twice As Perfect 3 52.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 43 43 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | National Dream | 67 | 68 | 67 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Bayview Express Line | 66 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Safe Space | 71 | 83 | 64 | +19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Seattle Beat | 61 | 55 | 55 | ✓ Match | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Ingakara | 58 | 53 | 53 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Eye Catching | 57 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Vengeance Forever | - | 51 | 48 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Twice As Perfect | - | 54 | 43 | +11 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points