Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 94)
Line Horse
Charlie Croker
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Gainsford 4 60.5 1 0.00 0.5 92 92 92 +0 2 Scalini 2 59.0 2 0.50 0.0 92 95 95 +3 3 Future Turn 5 58.0 3 1.75 0.0 90 91 91 +1 4 Charlie Croker 2 58.5 4 3.25 0.0 91 91 91 +0 5 Fleeting 3 56.0 5 5.00 1.0 84 82 82 -2 6 Promettere 5 57.0 6 5.30 0.0 88 86 86 -2 7 Narina Trogon 5 59.5 7 5.80 0.0 93 91 91 -2 8 Hasta Manana 3 60.0 8 7.55 1.0 92 90 90 -2 9 Intimidator 2 55.5 9 15.30 0.0 85 83 83 -2 99 Laughing William 5 53.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 79 79 +0 99 Nevada King 2 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 85 85 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gainsford | 92 | 88 | 92 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Scalini | 92 | 70 | 95 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Future Turn | 90 | 78 | 91 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Charlie Croker Line | 91 | 82 | 91 | -9 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Fleeting | 84 | 82 | 82 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Promettere | 88 | 98 | 86 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Narina Trogon | 93 | 102 | 91 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Hasta Manana | 92 | 88 | 90 | -2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Intimidator | 85 | 83 | 83 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Laughing William | - | 75 | 79 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Nevada King | - | 80 | 85 | -5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points