Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: BET WITH TABGOLD - THE INTELLIGENT BET! MR 81 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Twice The Storm
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Moya Wa Laliga 3 57.0 1 0.00 1.5 75 74 75 +0 2 Neitherherenorther 3 59.5 2 0.60 1.5 81 79 79 -2 3 Twice The Storm 2 60.0 3 0.80 0.5 82 82 82 +0 4 Master Josh 2 58.5 4 0.90 0.5 79 79 79 +0 5 Northern Warrior 7 54.5 5 3.40 0.0 73 72 72 -1 6 Quick Star 6 51.5 6 4.00 0.0 72 66 66 -6 7 Lazy Guy 4 52.0 7 5.70 2.0 65 63 63 -2 8 Izapha 4 56.5 8 6.00 2.0 74 72 72 -2 9 Sundance Kid 5 56.0 9 6.50 0.0 74 75 75 +1 10 Noble Sniper 3 56.0 10 7.50 1.5 73 72 72 -1 11 Tribute To You 4 59.5 11 7.90 2.0 80 78 78 -2 12 Wylie Riley 2 56.0 12 8.20 0.5 74 74 74 +0 13 Addabar 3 59.0 13 8.25 1.5 80 78 78 -2 14 Happy Wanderer 5 52.0 14 9.55 0.0 53 67 67 +14 15 Meetatthewindsor 5 56.0 15 13.35 0.0 74 75 75 +1 99 Hope Is Power 3 59.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moya Wa Laliga | 75 | 81 | 75 | +6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Neitherherenorther | 81 | 90 | 79 | +11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Twice The Storm Line | 82 | 73 | 82 | -9 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Master Josh | 79 | 97 | 79 | +18 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Northern Warrior | 73 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Quick Star | 72 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lazy Guy | 65 | 61 | 63 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Izapha | 74 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sundance Kid | 74 | 96 | 75 | +21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Noble Sniper | 73 | 71 | 72 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Tribute To You | 80 | 90 | 78 | +12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Wylie Riley | 74 | 79 | 74 | +5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 13 | Addabar | 80 | 97 | 78 | +19 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Happy Wanderer | 53 | 55 | 67 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Meetatthewindsor | 74 | 76 | 75 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hope Is Power | - | 80 | 79 | +1 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points