Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 85 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Captain Who
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 News Stream 6 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 85 81 85 +0 2 Paris Pike 2 59.0 2 0.40 0.0 86 86 86 +0 2 El Rey Viene 5 58.5 2 0.40 0.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Captain Who 4 52.5 4 1.50 0.5 70 70 70 +0 5 Banzai Pipeline 7 53.5 5 2.10 0.0 72 73 73 +1 6 Warrior Bling 5 57.0 6 2.15 0.0 79 80 80 +1 7 The Bund 2 53.5 7 3.65 0.0 78 71 71 -7 8 Famous And Rich 2 58.0 8 8.25 0.0 84 77 77 -7 99 Ice Kingdom 2 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | News Stream | 85 | 83 | 85 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Paris Pike | 86 | 83 | 86 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | El Rey Viene | 85 | 77 | 85 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Captain Who Line | 70 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 0.5 | ||
| 5 | Banzai Pipeline | 72 | 62 | 73 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Warrior Bling | 79 | 87 | 80 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | The Bund | 78 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Famous And Rich | 84 | 66 | 77 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ice Kingdom | - | 80 | 75 | +5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points