Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)

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Line Horse
Magic Prince
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Captain Wara         2    57.0    1    0.00     0.5   -     63           6     +6
2    The Octagon          2    57.0    2    4.25     0.5   -     63           63    +63
3    John Wick            2    57.0    3    7.50     0.5   -     63           63    +63
4    Magic Prince         2    60.0    4    7.60     0.5   69    69           69    +0
5    Bregardt             4    57.0    5    8.00     2.0   -     60           60    +60
6    Bullet Barnes        2    57.0    6    10.00    0.5   -     63           63    +63
7    O'Ryon               2    57.0    7    15.00    0.5   -     63           63    +63
8    Rock Of Ages         2    57.0    8    18.50    0.5   -     63           63    +63
9    Ragamuffin           2    57.0    9    22.50    0.5   -     63           63    +63
10   Care Lair Fare       3    60.0    10   22.75    1.5   -     67           67    +67
11   Winter Fragrance     2    57.0    11   28.00    0.5   -     63           63    +63
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Captain Wara - 90 6 +84 0.5 -
2 The Octagon - 76 63 +13 0.5 -
3 John Wick - 82 63 +19 0.5 -
4 Magic Prince Line 69 66 69 -3 0.5
5 Bregardt - 52 60 -8 2.0 -
6 Bullet Barnes - - 63 -63 0.5 -
7 O'Ryon - 52 63 -11 0.5 -
8 Rock Of Ages - 49 63 -14 0.5 -
9 Ragamuffin - 45 63 -18 0.5 -
10 Care Lair Fare - 48 67 -19 1.5 -
11 Winter Fragrance - - 63 -63 0.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points