Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: BOOK A TABLE CALL 0116811796 MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Bey Suyay
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
7 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Running Rifles 3 62.0 1 0.00 9.0 86 81 86 +0 2 Nordic Rebel 8 57.0 2 0.60 0.0 81 94 94 +13 3 Bey Suyay 4 60.0 3 1.00 7.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Elusive Swann 4 55.5 4 2.75 7.0 73 74 74 +1 5 Emporium 2 56.5 5 3.00 0.0 93 90 90 -3 6 Captain Chorus 5 56.0 6 5.25 0.0 74 87 87 +13 7 Roll Over Redrover 4 60.0 7 5.75 7.0 82 81 81 -1 8 London Roads 3 61.5 8 7.25 9.0 85 80 80 -5 99 Toffas 3 58.5 99 0.00 9.0 - 74 74 +0 99 Lady Calavera 4 59.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Running Rifles | 86 | 95 | 86 | +9 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Nordic Rebel | 81 | 81 | 94 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bey Suyay Line | 85 | 84 | 85 | -1 | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | Elusive Swann | 73 | 72 | 74 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Emporium | 93 | 89 | 90 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Captain Chorus | 74 | 67 | 87 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Roll Over Redrover | 82 | 79 | 81 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | London Roads | 85 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Toffas | - | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lady Calavera | - | 81 | 79 | +2 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points