Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACE MEETING THURSDAY 10 AUGUST MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Mia Regina
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Here Is The Tiger 3 59.0 1 0.00 10.5 66 59 66 +0 2 Mia Regina 2 57.0 2 2.00 7.0 62 62 62 +0 3 Risky Business 3 52.0 3 2.25 10.5 52 45 45 -7 4 Rock On Captain 3 53.5 4 2.50 10.5 54 48 48 -6 5 Della's Sword 3 54.5 5 2.75 10.5 57 50 50 -7 6 Happy Analia 4 59.0 6 2.85 12.0 80 56 70 -10 7 Red Carpet Girl 3 55.0 7 2.90 10.5 58 51 51 -7 8 Smelting 7 52.0 8 4.25 0.0 52 66 66 +14 9 Camerata 2 54.0 9 4.50 7.0 61 56 56 -5 10 Fulliautomatix 3 52.5 10 4.75 10.5 57 46 47 -10 11 Zoombomber 2 60.0 11 5.00 7.0 82 68 72 -10 99 Mercer Girl 6 52.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 99 Tangerine Pearl 2 55.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 58 58 +0 99 Lil Miss Moneybags 3 62.5 99 0.00 10.5 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Here Is The Tiger | 66 | 72 | 66 | +6 | 10.5 | - | |
| 2 | Mia Regina Line | 62 | 63 | 62 | +1 | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | Risky Business | 52 | 75 | 45 | +30 | 10.5 | - | |
| 4 | Rock On Captain | 54 | 57 | 48 | +9 | 10.5 | - | |
| 5 | Della's Sword | 57 | 56 | 50 | +6 | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | Happy Analia | 80 | 78 | 70 | +8 | 12.0 | - | |
| 7 | Red Carpet Girl | 58 | 55 | 51 | +4 | 10.5 | - | |
| 8 | Smelting | 52 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Camerata | 61 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Fulliautomatix | 57 | 66 | 47 | +19 | 10.5 | - | |
| 11 | Zoombomber | 82 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mercer Girl | - | 53 | 67 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tangerine Pearl | - | 58 | 58 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lil Miss Moneybags | - | 70 | 66 | +4 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points