Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Brave Voyager
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Porfirio 6 53.0 1 0.00 0.0 52 67 52 +0 2 Final Destiny 4 52.0 2 1.50 6.0 49 56 56 +7 3 Brave Voyager 3 55.0 3 2.30 8.5 56 56 56 +0 4 Hippocrates 3 59.5 4 2.70 8.5 65 65 65 +0 5 Ravens Sword 3 58.5 5 4.20 8.5 63 62 62 -1 6 Leslies Pathtofame 7 61.0 6 4.60 0.0 68 83 83 +15 7 Geronimo 4 53.5 7 6.00 6.0 53 56 56 +3 8 Farland 6 56.5 8 7.00 0.0 59 74 74 +15 99 Global Secret 3 54.0 99 0.00 8.5 - 52 52 +0 99 Impartial 4 52.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porfirio | 52 | 88 | 52 | +36 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Final Destiny | 49 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Brave Voyager Line | 56 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 8.5 | ||
| 4 | Hippocrates | 65 | 68 | 65 | +3 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Ravens Sword | 63 | 53 | 62 | -9 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Leslies Pathtofame | 68 | 63 | 83 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Geronimo | 53 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Farland | 59 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Global Secret | - | 66 | 52 | +14 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Impartial | - | 50 | 54 | -4 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points