Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Brave Voyager
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Porfirio             6    53.0    1    0.00     0.0   52    67           52    +0
2    Final Destiny        4    52.0    2    1.50     6.0   49    56           56    +7
3    Brave Voyager        3    55.0    3    2.30     8.5   56    56           56    +0
4    Hippocrates          3    59.5    4    2.70     8.5   65    65           65    +0
5    Ravens Sword         3    58.5    5    4.20     8.5   63    62           62    -1
6    Leslies Pathtofame   7    61.0    6    4.60     0.0   68    83           83    +15
7    Geronimo             4    53.5    7    6.00     6.0   53    56           56    +3
8    Farland              6    56.5    8    7.00     0.0   59    74           74    +15
99   Global Secret        3    54.0    99   0.00     8.5   -     52           52    +0
99   Impartial            4    52.5    99   0.00     6.0   -     54           54    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Porfirio 52 88 52 +36 0.0 -
2 Final Destiny 49 50 56 -6 6.0 -
3 Brave Voyager Line 56 51 56 -5 8.5
4 Hippocrates 65 68 65 +3 8.5 -
5 Ravens Sword 63 53 62 -9 8.5 -
6 Leslies Pathtofame 68 63 83 -20 0.0 -
7 Geronimo 53 50 56 -6 6.0 -
8 Farland 59 59 74 -15 0.0 -
99 Global Secret - 66 52 +14 8.5 -
99 Impartial - 50 54 -4 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points