Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CAPE TURF CLUB MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Look Forward
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Candy Town 2 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 - 75 6 +6 2 Lady Majorca 4 58.0 2 1.25 6.0 76 67 67 -9 3 Look Forward 3 60.0 3 3.50 8.5 63 63 63 +0 4 Trip To Maputo 2 58.0 4 3.60 0.0 - 76 76 +76 5 Witblits 2 58.0 5 6.10 0.0 78 75 75 -3 6 Lip Sync 2 58.0 6 8.10 0.0 76 75 75 -1 7 Ticket To Vegas 2 58.0 7 8.40 0.0 80 75 75 -5 8 Hanging Rock 2 58.0 8 12.15 0.0 - 75 75 +75 9 True Horizon 4 58.0 9 14.15 6.0 - 63 63 +63 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Candy Town | - | 104 | 6 | +98 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lady Majorca | 76 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Look Forward Line | 63 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 8.5 | ||
| 4 | Trip To Maputo | - | 96 | 76 | +20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Witblits | 78 | 98 | 75 | +23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lip Sync | 76 | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Ticket To Vegas | 80 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Hanging Rock | - | 67 | 75 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | True Horizon | - | 60 | 63 | -3 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points