Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 68)
Line Horse
Bullitt
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winter Pearl 6 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 62 60 60 -2 2 Charlie Malone 5 56.5 2 2.00 0.0 62 62 62 +0 3 Bullitt 2 60.0 3 2.05 0.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Kimball O'Hara 2 61.0 4 2.25 0.0 71 71 71 +0 5 Captive Moon 6 53.0 5 3.50 0.0 54 53 53 -1 6 Mr Frostie 4 53.0 6 5.75 6.0 54 40 44 -10 7 Radames 5 55.5 7 7.00 0.0 59 57 57 -2 8 Toureiro 5 56.5 8 7.50 0.0 60 59 59 -1 9 Unique Power 3 57.5 9 10.75 8.5 63 44 53 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winter Pearl | 62 | 71 | 60 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Charlie Malone | 62 | 71 | 62 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bullitt Line | 69 | 65 | 69 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Kimball O'Hara | 71 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Captive Moon | 54 | 75 | 53 | +22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mr Frostie | 54 | 51 | 44 | +7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Radames | 59 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Toureiro | 60 | 66 | 59 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Unique Power | 63 | 63 | 53 | +10 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points