Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 11 AUGUST MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Great Melody
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 19
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 19
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 19
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Globetonic 6 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 66 87 66 +0 2 Joyous Jubilee (AUS 2 54.0 2 0.25 7.0 58 65 65 +7 3 Narcos 3 62.0 3 1.50 10.5 74 74 74 +0 4 Great Melody 3 60.5 4 2.25 10.5 71 71 71 +0 5 Watch Tower 2 59.0 5 2.35 7.0 82 75 75 -7 6 Ygritte 2 60.0 6 2.45 7.0 70 77 77 +7 7 Jackson Misissippi 6 54.0 7 4.20 0.0 57 79 79 +22 8 Picture The Moment 4 54.0 8 4.30 12.0 58 55 55 -3 9 Kuznetsov 2 60.0 9 5.55 7.0 70 77 77 +7 10 Xplicit Content 4 58.0 10 5.65 12.0 80 63 70 -10 11 Giocatore 2 60.5 11 5.75 7.0 71 78 78 +7 12 Keep The Fort 3 60.0 12 6.00 10.5 70 70 70 +0 13 Maserati Roar 3 62.0 13 6.10 10.5 74 74 74 +0 14 Psychedelic Eric 3 52.0 14 7.35 10.5 54 54 54 +0 15 Jaquar Cat 3 54.0 15 9.35 10.5 58 58 58 +0 99 Coastal Path 5 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 87 87 +0 99 War Launch 2 60.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 78 78 +0 99 Toureiro 5 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 81 81 +0 99 Moonstrike 3 52.0 99 0.00 10.5 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Globetonic | 66 | 77 | 66 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Joyous Jubilee (AUS) | 58 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Narcos | 74 | 86 | 74 | +12 | 10.5 | - | |
| 4 | Great Melody Line | 71 | 79 | 71 | +8 | 10.5 | ||
| 5 | Watch Tower | 82 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ygritte | 70 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jackson Misissippi | 57 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Picture The Moment | 58 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 12.0 | - | |
| 9 | Kuznetsov | 70 | 61 | 77 | -16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Xplicit Content | 80 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 12.0 | - | |
| 11 | Giocatore | 71 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Keep The Fort | 70 | 66 | 70 | -4 | 10.5 | - | |
| 13 | Maserati Roar | 74 | 69 | 74 | -5 | 10.5 | - | |
| 14 | Psychedelic Eric | 54 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 10.5 | - | |
| 15 | Jaquar Cat | 58 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Coastal Path | - | 77 | 87 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | War Launch | - | 50 | 78 | -28 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Toureiro | - | 66 | 81 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Moonstrike | - | 50 | 54 | -4 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points