Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: BOOK A TABLE CALL 0116811796 MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Successful Secret
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Power Broker 2 61.5 1 0.00 7.0 85 100 85 +0 2 Black Egret 3 61.5 2 0.25 10.5 85 93 93 +8 3 Successful Secret 4 54.0 3 1.50 12.0 75 75 75 +0 4 Axel Collins 5 56.5 4 2.25 0.0 75 104 104 +29 5 Stormy Seas 4 58.0 5 2.30 12.0 78 83 83 +5 6 Siberian Steel 3 58.5 6 2.35 10.5 79 87 87 +8 7 Covert Operator 6 59.0 7 4.25 0.0 80 109 109 +29 8 Ampersand 2 54.5 8 4.40 7.0 85 86 86 +1 9 Iron Sky 3 59.0 9 4.75 10.5 80 88 88 +8 10 Bronco Blitz 3 59.0 10 99.99 10.5 80 88 88 +8 99 Munchkin 5 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 110 110 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Power Broker | 85 | 102 | 85 | +17 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Black Egret | 85 | 90 | 93 | -3 | 10.5 | - | |
| 3 | Successful Secret Line | 75 | 65 | 75 | -10 | 12.0 | ||
| 4 | Axel Collins | 75 | 55 | 104 | -49 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Stormy Seas | 78 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 12.0 | - | |
| 6 | Siberian Steel | 79 | 80 | 87 | -7 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Covert Operator | 80 | 77 | 109 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ampersand | 85 | 83 | 86 | -3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Iron Sky | 80 | 61 | 88 | -27 | 10.5 | - | |
| 10 | Bronco Blitz | 80 | 80 | 88 | -8 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Munchkin | - | 65 | 110 | -45 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points