Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 12 AUGUST MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
After Hours
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fort Lauderdale 2 61.0 1 0.00 7.0 74 60 74 +0 2 Tuscan Gold 2 57.5 2 1.00 7.0 67 53 57 -10 3 Written In Stone 9 52.0 3 2.25 0.0 54 56 56 +2 4 After Hours 7 58.0 4 2.30 0.0 68 68 68 +0 5 Fish Eagle 5 59.5 5 5.00 0.0 71 71 71 +0 6 Gimme Royalty 3 52.0 6 5.75 10.5 49 35 39 -10 7 Fully Loaded 5 61.0 7 6.00 0.0 74 74 74 +0 8 Super Secret 2 50.0 8 11.00 7.0 53 38 43 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Lauderdale | 74 | 85 | 74 | +11 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tuscan Gold | 67 | 84 | 57 | +27 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Written In Stone | 54 | 67 | 56 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | After Hours Line | 68 | 79 | 68 | +11 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Fish Eagle | 71 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gimme Royalty | 49 | 49 | 39 | +10 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Fully Loaded | 74 | 94 | 74 | +20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Super Secret | 53 | 50 | 43 | +7 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points