Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: www.tabgold.co.za MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Edge Of Winter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Manhatten Cafe 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.0 - 65 6 +6 2 One Shot Wonder 3 60.0 2 0.40 4.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Runaway Song 6 60.0 3 0.90 0.0 - 77 77 +77 4 Metallic Gold 3 60.0 4 1.80 4.0 - 68 68 +68 5 Mighty Mashona 3 60.0 5 3.90 4.0 74 66 66 -8 6 Edge Of Winter 3 60.0 6 5.80 4.0 65 65 65 +0 7 Quiz Master 3 60.0 7 6.70 4.0 70 65 65 -5 8 Merchant Gold 3 60.0 8 6.95 4.0 62 65 65 +3 9 National Flag 3 60.0 9 13.75 4.0 62 65 65 +3 10 Chipopo 3 58.5 10 15.65 4.0 30 62 62 +32 11 Captains Walk 3 60.0 11 20.55 4.0 54 65 65 +11 12 Varry Green 3 60.0 12 35.65 4.0 - 65 65 +65 99 Oh My Word Its Roy 3 60.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manhatten Cafe | - | 85 | 6 | +79 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | One Shot Wonder | 70 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Runaway Song | - | 98 | 77 | +21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Metallic Gold | - | 75 | 68 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mighty Mashona | 74 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Edge Of Winter Line | 65 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 4.0 | ||
| 7 | Quiz Master | 70 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Merchant Gold | 62 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | National Flag | 62 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Chipopo | 30 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Captains Walk | 54 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 12 | Varry Green | - | 45 | 65 | -20 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Oh My Word Its Roy | - | 50 | 65 | -15 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points