Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: www.trackandball.co.za FM 78 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
And We Danced
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jack's Bird 5 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 78 87 78 +0 2 Hot Strike 7 53.5 2 0.20 0.0 65 77 77 +12 3 And We Danced 3 53.5 3 1.00 4.0 73 73 73 +0 4 Shape Of You 4 59.5 4 1.25 2.0 77 89 89 +12 5 Angel Of Justice 3 56.0 5 2.15 4.0 78 77 77 -1 6 Conchita 4 60.5 6 2.45 2.0 79 89 89 +10 7 Big Sky Country 4 57.5 7 4.05 2.0 73 82 82 +9 8 Conker The World 4 52.0 8 5.25 2.0 52 70 70 +18 9 Let's Not Linger 4 56.5 9 6.95 2.0 71 79 79 +8 10 Crystal Cove 4 48.0 10 12.05 2.0 58 62 62 +4 99 Kavian's Cara 4 52.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 70 70 +0 99 Sacred Blues 5 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 89 89 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack's Bird | 78 | 75 | 78 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Hot Strike | 65 | 59 | 77 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | And We Danced Line | 73 | 103 | 73 | +30 | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Shape Of You | 77 | 79 | 89 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Angel Of Justice | 78 | 57 | 77 | -20 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Conchita | 79 | 56 | 89 | -33 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Big Sky Country | 73 | 51 | 82 | -31 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Conker The World | 52 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Let's Not Linger | 71 | 87 | 79 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Crystal Cove | 58 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kavian's Cara | - | 56 | 70 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sacred Blues | - | 76 | 89 | -13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points