Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Rock Fall
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Catch The Tune 6 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 74 78 74 +0 2 Rock Fall 2 57.0 2 1.10 0.0 82 82 82 +0 3 Dontstopmenow 3 59.5 3 2.50 10.0 79 65 69 -10 4 Cyber Time 3 57.0 4 2.80 10.0 72 59 62 -10 5 Captain Who 4 56.0 5 3.50 7.0 70 63 63 -7 6 Kashkaval 3 54.5 6 4.80 10.0 72 51 62 -10 7 Juan Carlos 7 61.5 7 5.50 0.0 81 85 85 +4 8 Twice Golden 5 55.0 8 5.90 0.0 76 72 72 -4 9 Blazing Light 3 58.5 9 6.30 10.0 75 59 65 -10 10 Aerial Display 5 61.5 10 6.80 0.0 83 85 85 +2 11 Famous And Rich 2 59.5 11 7.05 0.0 79 81 81 +2 12 Eventidor 6 60.0 12 7.25 0.0 78 82 82 +4 13 Khanyisa Indlela 3 58.5 13 7.65 10.0 75 59 65 -10 14 Majestic Warrior 2 55.5 14 11.15 0.0 71 73 73 +2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Catch The Tune | 74 | 70 | 74 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Rock Fall Line | 82 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Dontstopmenow | 79 | 62 | 69 | -7 | 10.0 | - | |
| 4 | Cyber Time | 72 | 81 | 62 | +19 | 10.0 | - | |
| 5 | Captain Who | 70 | 65 | 63 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Kashkaval | 72 | 74 | 62 | +12 | 10.0 | - | |
| 7 | Juan Carlos | 81 | 93 | 85 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Twice Golden | 76 | 84 | 72 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Blazing Light | 75 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 10.0 | - | |
| 10 | Aerial Display | 83 | 68 | 85 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Famous And Rich | 79 | 66 | 81 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Eventidor | 78 | 89 | 82 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Khanyisa Indlela | 75 | 74 | 65 | +9 | 10.0 | - | |
| 14 | Majestic Warrior | 71 | 86 | 73 | +13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points