Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Rock Fall
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Catch The Tune       6    58.0    1    0.00     0.0   74    78           74    +0
2    Rock Fall            2    57.0    2    1.10     0.0   82    82           82    +0
3    Dontstopmenow        3    59.5    3    2.50     10.0  79    65           69    -10
4    Cyber Time           3    57.0    4    2.80     10.0  72    59           62    -10
5    Captain Who          4    56.0    5    3.50     7.0   70    63           63    -7
6    Kashkaval            3    54.5    6    4.80     10.0  72    51           62    -10
7    Juan Carlos          7    61.5    7    5.50     0.0   81    85           85    +4
8    Twice Golden         5    55.0    8    5.90     0.0   76    72           72    -4
9    Blazing Light        3    58.5    9    6.30     10.0  75    59           65    -10
10   Aerial Display       5    61.5    10   6.80     0.0   83    85           85    +2
11   Famous And Rich      2    59.5    11   7.05     0.0   79    81           81    +2
12   Eventidor            6    60.0    12   7.25     0.0   78    82           82    +4
13   Khanyisa Indlela     3    58.5    13   7.65     10.0  75    59           65    -10
14   Majestic Warrior     2    55.5    14   11.15    0.0   71    73           73    +2
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Catch The Tune 74 70 74 -4 0.0 -
2 Rock Fall Line 82 80 82 -2 0.0
3 Dontstopmenow 79 62 69 -7 10.0 -
4 Cyber Time 72 81 62 +19 10.0 -
5 Captain Who 70 65 63 +2 7.0 -
6 Kashkaval 72 74 62 +12 10.0 -
7 Juan Carlos 81 93 85 +8 0.0 -
8 Twice Golden 76 84 72 +12 0.0 -
9 Blazing Light 75 62 65 -3 10.0 -
10 Aerial Display 83 68 85 -17 0.0 -
11 Famous And Rich 79 66 81 -15 0.0 -
12 Eventidor 78 89 82 +7 0.0 -
13 Khanyisa Indlela 75 74 65 +9 10.0 -
14 Majestic Warrior 71 86 73 +13 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points