Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 73 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Hey Bill
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Billy Bazooka 3 49.0 1 0.00 5.0 69 46 69 +0 2 Hey Bill 4 53.0 2 2.80 2.5 62 62 62 +0 3 Final Occasion 6 52.0 3 4.60 0.0 52 63 63 +11 4 Lord Of The Manor 5 52.5 4 5.10 0.0 58 63 63 +5 5 King's Cove 6 54.0 5 7.80 0.0 61 66 66 +5 6 Sweet William 6 48.0 6 8.80 0.0 54 54 54 +0 7 Deputy Marshall 4 52.0 7 8.95 2.5 57 57 57 +0 8 A Whole New World 4 59.5 8 9.25 2.5 72 72 72 +0 9 Majestic Power 3 54.5 9 9.40 5.0 72 57 62 -10 9 Mingshi 4 55.5 9 9.40 2.5 64 64 64 +0 11 Lucretius 6 57.0 11 10.10 0.0 77 72 72 -5 12 Twice The Flight 5 56.0 12 11.70 0.0 65 70 70 +5 99 Chewbaca 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billy Bazooka | 69 | 62 | 69 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Hey Bill Line | 62 | 71 | 62 | +9 | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Final Occasion | 52 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Lord Of The Manor | 58 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | King's Cove | 61 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sweet William | 54 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Deputy Marshall | 57 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | A Whole New World | 72 | 65 | 72 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Majestic Power | 72 | 63 | 62 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Mingshi | 64 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Lucretius | 77 | 64 | 72 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Twice The Flight | 65 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Chewbaca | - | 87 | 78 | +9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points