Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Sting Ray
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ride The Lightning 3 59.5 1 0.00 4.5 71 71 71 +0 2 Family Favourite 3 58.0 2 0.40 4.5 68 68 68 +0 3 Flower Season 5 56.0 3 2.60 0.0 58 73 73 +15 4 Sting Ray 3 60.0 4 2.85 4.5 72 72 72 +0 5 Diamond Girl 4 59.5 5 3.45 5.0 65 70 70 +5 6 Indigo Fields 3 62.0 6 3.50 4.5 76 76 76 +0 7 Kileigh's Fate 4 54.0 7 3.80 5.0 57 59 59 +2 8 Corner Crusade 3 59.0 8 4.20 4.5 70 70 70 +0 9 Someone Exciting 7 54.5 9 4.70 0.0 55 70 70 +15 10 Twiceasfast 5 56.0 10 5.10 0.0 66 73 73 +7 11 Kingsmeads Krystl 3 58.5 11 7.20 4.5 69 69 69 +0 12 Kitten's Adventure 3 59.0 12 7.80 4.5 73 70 70 -3 13 Malvern 5 49.5 13 13.90 0.0 53 60 60 +7 99 Baby Africa 4 61.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 73 73 +0 99 Mvulazana 3 61.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ride The Lightning | 71 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Family Favourite | 68 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Flower Season | 58 | 54 | 73 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Sting Ray Line | 72 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 4.5 | ||
| 5 | Diamond Girl | 65 | 74 | 70 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Indigo Fields | 76 | 77 | 76 | +1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Kileigh's Fate | 57 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Corner Crusade | 70 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Someone Exciting | 55 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Twiceasfast | 66 | 67 | 73 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Kingsmeads Krystl | 69 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 12 | Kitten's Adventure | 73 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 4.5 | - | |
| 13 | Malvern | 53 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Baby Africa | - | 68 | 73 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mvulazana | - | 82 | 75 | +7 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points