Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Zippy Over
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winter Scout 3 59.5 1 0.00 10.0 77 73 73 -4 2 Miss New York 3 54.5 2 0.20 10.0 69 63 63 -6 3 Zippy Over 3 60.0 3 0.95 10.0 78 78 78 +0 4 Lucy The Pink 2 52.5 4 1.00 0.0 65 83 83 +18 5 Rewrite The Stars 5 52.0 5 1.40 0.0 61 81 81 +20 6 Cloud Chaser 3 59.0 6 3.65 10.0 78 73 73 -5 7 Estimated 3 56.5 7 4.90 10.0 73 67 67 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winter Scout | 77 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 10.0 | - | |
| 2 | Miss New York | 69 | 61 | 63 | -2 | 10.0 | - | |
| 3 | Zippy Over Line | 78 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 10.0 | ||
| 4 | Lucy The Pink | 65 | 63 | 83 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rewrite The Stars | 61 | 59 | 81 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cloud Chaser | 78 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 10.0 | - | |
| 7 | Estimated | 73 | 70 | 67 | +3 | 10.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points