Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: CLASSIC DAY 5 MARCH MR 80 APPRENTICE HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Duke Of Rain
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Juan Carlos 7 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 81 104 81 +0 2 Duke Of Rain 3 49.0 2 2.50 5.0 76 76 76 +0 3 Quiet Rebellion 3 50.5 3 2.70 5.0 76 79 79 +3 4 Qunetra 4 52.0 4 3.25 2.5 72 87 87 +15 5 Have A Go Jo 4 60.0 5 3.75 2.5 80 102 102 +22 6 Bey Suyay 4 53.5 6 5.50 2.5 75 88 88 +13 7 Twin Turbo 4 58.0 7 7.25 2.5 84 97 97 +13 8 Blue Moon City 4 56.5 8 9.25 2.5 78 94 94 +16 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juan Carlos | 81 | 93 | 81 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Duke Of Rain Line | 76 | 70 | 76 | -6 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Quiet Rebellion | 76 | 74 | 79 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Qunetra | 72 | 83 | 87 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Have A Go Jo | 80 | 70 | 102 | -32 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Bey Suyay | 75 | 84 | 88 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Twin Turbo | 84 | 88 | 97 | -9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Blue Moon City | 78 | 75 | 94 | -19 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points