Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: HOLLYWOODBETS DURBANVILLE WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Warm Winter Nite
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Warm Winter Nite 2 60.0 1 0.00 7.0 80 80 80 +0 2 Great Cat 5 59.5 2 1.50 0.0 - 93 93 +93 3 Connery 4 60.0 3 2.75 12.0 - 70 70 +70 4 Pompei Warning 2 60.0 4 3.25 7.0 68 80 80 +12 5 Dancingtothelight 3 60.0 5 4.75 10.5 - 73 73 +73 6 Unicorn Alert 3 60.0 6 4.80 10.5 - 73 73 +73 7 Jet Green 4 57.5 7 7.30 12.0 - 65 65 +65 8 Newton Heath 3 60.0 8 9.55 10.5 - 73 73 +73 9 Klip In Die Bos 2 60.0 9 13.80 7.0 - 80 80 +80 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warm Winter Nite Line | 80 | 92 | 80 | +12 | 7.0 | ||
| 2 | Great Cat | - | 82 | 93 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Connery | - | 96 | 70 | +26 | 12.0 | - | |
| 4 | Pompei Warning | 68 | 75 | 80 | -5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Dancingtothelight | - | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | Unicorn Alert | - | 61 | 73 | -12 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Jet Green | - | 54 | 65 | -11 | 12.0 | - | |
| 8 | Newton Heath | - | 60 | 73 | -13 | 10.5 | - | |
| 9 | Klip In Die Bos | - | 25 | 80 | -55 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points