Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CAPE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 74 & below)

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Line Horse
Kelp Forest
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Questioning          2    60.0    1    0.00     0.0   88    69           69    -19
2    Kimball O'Hara       2    60.0    2    1.00     0.0   71    73           73    +2
3    Kelp Forest          5    58.5    3    1.50     0.0   69    69           69    +0
4    Liketheclappers      3    55.5    4    1.70     8.5   61    46           51    -10
5    Numzaan              2    60.0    5    1.75     0.0   71    72           72    +1
6    Sylvan Theater       3    61.5    6    2.50     8.5   75    57           65    -10
7    Masked Vigilante     3    60.0    7    6.00     8.5   70    52           60    -10
8    Captive Moon         6    51.0    8    7.25     0.0   52    51           51    -1
9    Radames              5    54.0    9    7.65     0.0   59    57           57    -2
10   Paper Trail          4    57.0    10   8.15     6.0   65    51           55    -10
99   Shotgun Willie       3    61.5    99   0.00     8.5   -     55           55    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Questioning 88 127 69 +58 0.0 -
2 Kimball O'Hara 71 61 73 -12 0.0 -
3 Kelp Forest Line 69 81 69 +12 0.0
4 Liketheclappers 61 63 51 +12 8.5 -
5 Numzaan 71 79 72 +7 0.0 -
6 Sylvan Theater 75 73 65 +8 8.5 -
7 Masked Vigilante 70 78 60 +18 8.5 -
8 Captive Moon 52 75 51 +24 0.0 -
9 Radames 59 56 57 -1 0.0 -
10 Paper Trail 65 60 55 +5 6.0 -
99 Shotgun Willie - 66 55 +11 8.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points