Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 69 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Justfortheepenny
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Brave Voyager        3    53.5    1    0.00     9.0   56    34           56    +0
2    Papa C               6    56.5    2    0.15     0.0   70    58           60    -10
3    Thunder Masala       3    55.0    3    0.65     9.0   59    42           49    -10
4    Justfortheepenny     5    55.5    4    1.05     0.0   60    60           60    +0
5    Rodriguez            6    58.0    5    1.45     0.0   65    64           64    -1
6    Master Tobe          5    58.5    6    1.55     0.0   66    65           65    -1
7    Winter Royale        4    52.5    7    1.85     7.0   53    39           43    -10
8    Oh My Word Its Roy   3    52.0    8    4.65     9.0   47    31           37    -10
9    Captain Who          4    59.5    9    4.80     7.0   68    50           58    -10
10   Fever                5    52.5    10   5.30     0.0   54    50           50    -4
11   Pongola              5    59.5    11   5.55     0.0   72    64           64    -8
12   The Bayou            7    52.5    12   7.05     0.0   62    50           52    -10
13   Happy Wanderer       5    52.0    13   8.10     0.0   51    49           49    -2
14   Starrywinternight    3    61.0    14   22.60    9.0   71    49           61    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Brave Voyager 56 51 56 -5 9.0 -
2 Papa C 70 73 60 +13 0.0 -
3 Thunder Masala 59 50 49 +1 9.0 -
4 Justfortheepenny Line 60 65 60 +5 0.0
5 Rodriguez 65 69 64 +5 0.0 -
6 Master Tobe 66 62 65 -3 0.0 -
7 Winter Royale 53 53 43 +10 7.0 -
8 Oh My Word Its Roy 47 50 37 +13 9.0 -
9 Captain Who 68 65 58 +7 7.0 -
10 Fever 54 52 50 +2 0.0 -
11 Pongola 72 66 64 +2 0.0 -
12 The Bayou 62 58 52 +6 0.0 -
13 Happy Wanderer 51 55 49 +6 0.0 -
14 Starrywinternight 71 66 61 +5 9.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points