Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Teichman
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 New Mexico 2 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 74 71 74 +0 2 Teichman 5 58.0 2 2.90 0.0 72 72 72 +0 3 Master Josh 2 61.0 3 4.60 0.0 79 76 76 -3 4 Mr Pigalle 4 60.5 4 5.00 7.0 77 61 67 -10 5 Except Temptation 2 56.0 5 5.20 0.0 86 66 76 -10 6 Wylie Riley 2 58.5 6 6.10 0.0 74 71 71 -3 7 Action Stations 2 58.5 7 6.90 0.0 74 71 71 -3 8 Medal Of Freedom 3 60.5 8 7.05 9.0 78 57 68 -10 9 Fine Admiral 3 56.0 9 7.55 9.0 69 48 59 -10 10 Captain Corrupt 2 60.5 10 8.15 0.0 78 75 75 -3 11 Iron Will 4 56.5 11 9.25 7.0 77 53 67 -10 12 Political Party 2 58.5 12 9.55 0.0 74 71 71 -3 13 Paris Rain 3 56.5 13 10.75 9.0 78 49 68 -10 14 Wave Warrior 3 57.5 14 14.85 9.0 71 51 61 -10 99 Forest Jump 8 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico | 74 | 83 | 74 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Teichman Line | 72 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Master Josh | 79 | 97 | 76 | +21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Mr Pigalle | 77 | 68 | 67 | +1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Except Temptation | 86 | 84 | 76 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Wylie Riley | 74 | 79 | 71 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Action Stations | 74 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Medal Of Freedom | 78 | 73 | 68 | +5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 9 | Fine Admiral | 69 | 73 | 59 | +14 | 9.0 | - | |
| 10 | Captain Corrupt | 78 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Iron Will | 77 | 63 | 67 | -4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Political Party | 74 | 66 | 71 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Paris Rain | 78 | 70 | 68 | +2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 14 | Wave Warrior | 71 | 68 | 61 | +7 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Forest Jump | - | 62 | 73 | -11 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points