Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 31 AUGUST FM 72 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
In The Ether
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mia Regina 2 55.0 1 0.00 7.0 62 48 62 +0 2 Red Carpet Girl 3 52.5 2 0.10 10.5 57 36 47 -10 3 Smelting 7 49.5 3 0.20 0.0 50 51 51 +1 4 In The Ether 6 56.0 4 0.80 0.0 64 64 64 +0 5 Fennec Fox 5 59.5 5 1.10 0.0 71 71 71 +0 6 Happy Analia 4 56.0 6 1.15 12.0 78 40 68 -10 7 Samoa 10 61.0 7 1.25 0.0 74 74 74 +0 8 Glitterfox 2 54.5 8 6.00 7.0 60 47 50 -10 9 Inventrix 2 58.5 9 6.75 7.0 69 55 59 -10 10 Insatiable 3 58.5 10 7.25 10.5 69 48 59 -10 11 Camerata 2 52.0 11 10.50 7.0 51 42 42 -9 12 Clean Living 2 58.0 12 14.00 7.0 68 54 58 -10 99 Rock On Captain 3 52.0 99 0.00 10.5 - 35 35 +0 99 World Heritage 2 56.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 51 51 +0 99 Mandalay 3 52.0 99 0.00 10.5 - 35 35 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mia Regina | 62 | 63 | 62 | +1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Red Carpet Girl | 57 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 10.5 | - | |
| 3 | Smelting | 50 | 52 | 51 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | In The Ether Line | 64 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Fennec Fox | 71 | 64 | 71 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Happy Analia | 78 | 78 | 68 | +10 | 12.0 | - | |
| 7 | Samoa | 74 | 64 | 74 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Glitterfox | 60 | 57 | 50 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Inventrix | 69 | 73 | 59 | +14 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Insatiable | 69 | 62 | 59 | +3 | 10.5 | - | |
| 11 | Camerata | 51 | 49 | 42 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Clean Living | 68 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rock On Captain | - | 57 | 35 | +22 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | World Heritage | - | 55 | 51 | +4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mandalay | - | 53 | 35 | +18 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points