Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: ONLINE FORM GUIDE www.gallop.co.za FM 78 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Certainly
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Maquette 3 56.5 1 0.00 10.5 79 72 79 +0 2 Certainly 2 54.5 2 0.60 7.0 75 75 75 +0 3 Hot Pearl 2 61.0 3 3.20 7.0 94 88 88 -6 4 Red Roses Too 5 60.0 4 3.35 0.0 78 100 100 +22 5 War Empress 5 57.0 5 5.55 0.0 72 94 94 +22 6 Magicallee 4 57.0 6 6.15 12.0 72 70 70 -2 7 Sting Ray 3 59.5 7 7.35 10.5 77 78 78 +1 8 African Folklore 2 59.5 8 8.65 7.0 91 85 85 -6 99 Mist In Scotland 2 60.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 87 87 +0 99 On Cue 3 61.5 99 0.00 10.5 - 82 82 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maquette | 79 | 91 | 79 | +12 | 10.5 | - | |
| 2 | Certainly Line | 75 | 80 | 75 | +5 | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | Hot Pearl | 94 | 90 | 88 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Red Roses Too | 78 | 82 | 100 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | War Empress | 72 | 92 | 94 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Magicallee | 72 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 12.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sting Ray | 77 | 73 | 78 | -5 | 10.5 | - | |
| 8 | African Folklore | 91 | 76 | 85 | -9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mist In Scotland | - | 77 | 87 | -10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | On Cue | - | 81 | 82 | -1 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points