Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: WORLD SPORTS BETTING LEADERS IN FIXED ODDS CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Palo Queen
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Candy Town 2 57.0 1 0.00 7.0 86 58 58 -28 2 Palo Queen 5 55.0 2 2.50 0.0 68 68 68 +0 3 Different Face (GB) 4 60.0 3 3.50 12.0 78 54 68 -10 4 Silver Screen 2 54.0 4 4.25 7.0 66 52 56 -10 5 Country Time 5 61.5 5 4.45 0.0 81 81 81 +0 6 Priceless 3 58.5 6 4.75 10.5 75 54 65 -10 7 Mulberry Street 3 59.5 7 5.15 10.5 77 56 67 -10 8 Savic 2 54.0 8 6.15 7.0 80 52 70 -10 9 Musical Arts 2 56.5 9 6.90 7.0 85 57 75 -10 99 Why Not Jackie 5 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 99 Cityscape 2 52.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 48 48 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Candy Town | 86 | 104 | 58 | +46 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Palo Queen Line | 68 | 70 | 68 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Different Face (GB) | 78 | 76 | 68 | +8 | 12.0 | - | |
| 4 | Silver Screen | 66 | 70 | 56 | +14 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Country Time | 81 | 62 | 81 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Priceless | 75 | 72 | 65 | +7 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Mulberry Street | 77 | 69 | 67 | +2 | 10.5 | - | |
| 8 | Savic | 80 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Musical Arts | 85 | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Why Not Jackie | - | 65 | 70 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cityscape | - | 70 | 48 | +22 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points