Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: EQUUS CHAMPION MIDDLE DISTANCE WINCHESTER MANSION FM 71 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Count Your Chances
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cerulean Dancer 2 52.5 1 0.00 0.0 57 54 57 +0 2 Alabama Anna 6 59.5 2 0.75 0.0 70 72 72 +2 3 Count Your Chances 5 56.5 3 1.75 0.0 65 65 65 +0 4 Meet The Captain 4 53.0 4 1.80 6.0 57 46 47 -10 5 Sparkling Jubilee 5 59.0 5 4.00 0.0 70 68 68 -2 6 Duenna 2 57.5 6 6.25 0.0 83 64 73 -10 7 Bad Hair Day 2 52.0 7 6.50 0.0 54 53 53 -1 8 Pashasha 3 55.0 8 7.00 8.5 61 42 51 -10 9 Dancing Arabian 4 60.0 9 9.00 6.0 71 57 61 -10 10 Writteninthesand 3 53.0 10 9.25 8.5 58 38 48 -10 11 Bushveld 3 55.5 11 12.50 8.5 63 43 53 -10 12 Chateau Futura 2 55.5 12 13.75 0.0 63 60 60 -3 13 Big City Girl 4 54.5 13 17.00 6.0 60 46 50 -10 99 Summer Of Dreams 2 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cerulean Dancer | 57 | 71 | 57 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Alabama Anna | 70 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Count Your Chances Line | 65 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Meet The Captain | 57 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sparkling Jubilee | 70 | 76 | 68 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Duenna | 83 | 94 | 73 | +21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Bad Hair Day | 54 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Pashasha | 61 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Dancing Arabian | 71 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Writteninthesand | 58 | 57 | 48 | +9 | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | Bushveld | 63 | 56 | 53 | +3 | 8.5 | - | |
| 12 | Chateau Futura | 63 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Big City Girl | 60 | 59 | 50 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Summer Of Dreams | - | 65 | 68 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points