Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: BETWAY TOTE REWARDS CLUB OPEN MAIDEN (F & M) (For Maidens F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Fly Better
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Magenta 4 55.0 1 0.00 11.0 51 49 49 -2 2 Gideon's Daughter 4 59.0 2 1.75 11.0 - 57 57 +57 3 More Than A Dream 2 52.5 3 2.00 6.5 60 53 53 -7 4 Impressive Nessie 2 53.5 4 2.75 6.5 62 55 55 -7 5 Fly Better 3 53.0 5 5.75 9.5 48 48 48 +0 6 My Mistress 4 61.0 6 8.00 11.0 - 61 61 +61 7 Rain Bird 2 59.0 7 8.10 6.5 - 66 66 +66 8 Sunset Roar 2 59.0 8 8.15 6.5 - 66 66 +66 9 Heart Of Eternity 3 58.0 9 9.65 9.5 58 58 58 +0 10 Kungfoo Lightning 2 53.0 10 13.90 6.5 43 54 54 +11 11 Just Forever 3 55.0 11 16.40 9.5 51 52 52 +1 12 Lava Fields 3 59.0 12 17.65 9.5 - 60 60 +60 13 Fuel The Frenzy 4 61.0 13 18.90 11.0 - 61 61 +61 14 Quirk Of Fate 2 57.5 14 22.90 6.5 69 63 63 -6 99 Painted Beauty 4 52.0 99 0.00 11.0 - 43 43 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magenta | 51 | 59 | 49 | +10 | 11.0 | - | |
| 2 | Gideon's Daughter | - | 94 | 57 | +37 | 11.0 | - | |
| 3 | More Than A Dream | 60 | 61 | 53 | +8 | 6.5 | - | |
| 4 | Impressive Nessie | 62 | 76 | 55 | +21 | 6.5 | - | |
| 5 | Fly Better Line | 48 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 9.5 | ||
| 6 | My Mistress | - | 40 | 61 | -21 | 11.0 | - | |
| 7 | Rain Bird | - | 70 | 66 | +4 | 6.5 | - | |
| 8 | Sunset Roar | - | 57 | 66 | -9 | 6.5 | - | |
| 9 | Heart Of Eternity | 58 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 9.5 | - | |
| 10 | Kungfoo Lightning | 43 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 6.5 | - | |
| 11 | Just Forever | 51 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 9.5 | - | |
| 12 | Lava Fields | - | 42 | 60 | -18 | 9.5 | - | |
| 13 | Fuel The Frenzy | - | 34 | 61 | -27 | 11.0 | - | |
| 14 | Quirk Of Fate | 69 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Painted Beauty | - | 30 | 43 | -13 | 11.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points