Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: POUND BLOODSTOCK MAIDEN PLATE (3-year-olds) (For Maiden 3-year-olds)
Line Horse
Run To Rio
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
15 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Flight Path 2 60.0 1 0.00 6.5 - 9 6 +6 2 Run To Rio 4 60.0 2 1.30 11.0 - - - +0 3 Apex Predator 4 60.0 3 1.35 11.0 - - - +0 4 Give Us A Smile 2 60.0 4 2.35 6.5 77 9 67 -10 5 Flag Man 3 60.0 5 3.25 9.5 - 3 3 +3 6 Silver Savage 2 60.0 6 3.75 6.5 - 9 9 +9 7 Noble Warrior 4 58.5 7 3.85 11.0 - -3 - +0 8 Heroic Power 3 60.0 8 5.15 9.5 - 3 3 +3 9 Pieter Both 3 60.0 9 5.55 9.5 - 3 3 +3 10 Laudato 2 60.0 10 6.60 6.5 - 9 9 +9 11 Mo King 2 60.0 11 8.90 6.5 - 9 9 +9 12 Teriyaki 4 60.0 12 9.40 11.0 - - - +0 13 Only A Poet 3 60.0 13 11.40 9.5 - 3 3 +3 14 Mountain Of Smoke 3 60.0 14 13.40 9.5 - 3 3 +3 15 Obadiah 2 56.0 15 31.40 6.5 - 1 1 +1 99 The Shepherd 3 60.0 99 0.00 9.5 - 3 3 +0 99 Accommodator 3 60.0 99 0.00 9.5 - 3 3 +0 99 Future Saint 4 60.0 99 0.00 11.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flight Path | - | 84 | 6 | +78 | 6.5 | - | |
| 2 | Run To Rio Line | - | 71 | - | +71 | 11.0 | ||
| 3 | Apex Predator | - | 69 | - | +69 | 11.0 | - | |
| 4 | Give Us A Smile | 77 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 6.5 | - | |
| 5 | Flag Man | - | 126 | 3 | +123 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Silver Savage | - | 52 | 9 | +43 | 6.5 | - | |
| 7 | Noble Warrior | - | 54 | - | +54 | 11.0 | - | |
| 8 | Heroic Power | - | 62 | 3 | +59 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | Pieter Both | - | 65 | 3 | +62 | 9.5 | - | |
| 10 | Laudato | - | 84 | 9 | +75 | 6.5 | - | |
| 11 | Mo King | - | 66 | 9 | +57 | 6.5 | - | |
| 12 | Teriyaki | - | 71 | - | +71 | 11.0 | - | |
| 13 | Only A Poet | - | 59 | 3 | +56 | 9.5 | - | |
| 14 | Mountain Of Smoke | - | - | 3 | -3 | 9.5 | - | |
| 15 | Obadiah | - | 20 | 1 | +19 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | The Shepherd | - | 97 | 3 | +94 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Accommodator | - | 38 | 3 | +35 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Future Saint | - | 53 | - | - | 11.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points