Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: MIKE DE KOCK RACING STABLES MAIDEN PLATE (3-year-olds) (For Maiden 3-year-olds)
Line Horse
Billy Of Tea
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ninety Nine Heros 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 85 80 80 -5 2 Sugar Blast 2 60.0 2 0.70 0.0 68 85 85 +17 3 Billy Of Tea 2 60.0 3 2.40 0.0 82 82 82 +0 4 Rhumba Stiltskin 3 60.0 4 12.10 9.5 - 61 61 +61 5 Thalaiva 2 60.0 5 17.20 0.0 65 80 80 +15 6 Zero Dawn 3 60.0 6 17.40 9.5 - 61 61 +61 7 Press Search 3 56.0 7 23.50 9.5 - 53 53 +53 8 The Golden Goal 4 58.5 8 27.40 6.0 66 65 65 -1 9 U King 3 60.0 9 99.99 9.5 - 61 61 +61 99 Baker Street 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ninety Nine Heros | 85 | 83 | 80 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sugar Blast | 68 | 102 | 85 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Billy Of Tea Line | 82 | 75 | 82 | -7 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Rhumba Stiltskin | - | 63 | 61 | +2 | 9.5 | - | |
| 5 | Thalaiva | 65 | 56 | 80 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Zero Dawn | - | 55 | 61 | -6 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Press Search | - | 45 | 53 | -8 | 9.5 | - | |
| 8 | The Golden Goal | 66 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | U King | - | 50 | 61 | -11 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Baker Street | - | - | 80 | -80 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points