Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 69 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Papa C
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Rodriguez            6    58.0    1    0.00     0.0   65    73           65    +0
2    Papa C               6    57.5    2    0.25     0.0   72    72           72    +0
3    Winter Royale        4    52.5    3    5.25     6.0   53    50           50    -3
4    Majestic Warrior     2    58.0    4    8.15     0.0   67    73           73    +6
5    Khanyisa Indlela     3    60.5    5    8.45     9.5   70    59           60    -10
6    Tobacconist          2    56.0    6    10.25    0.0   80    69           70    -10
6    Bayview Express      5    58.5    6    10.25    0.0   66    74           74    +8
8    Captain Who          4    58.5    8    11.00    6.0   66    62           62    -4
9    The Bund             2    59.5    9    12.50    0.0   73    76           76    +3
10   Tom Bombadil         5    57.0    10   15.30    0.0   63    71           71    +8
11   Head Gardener        3    52.5    11   17.00    9.5   53    43           43    -10
12   Kashkaval            3    59.0    12   99.99    9.5   69    56           59    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Rodriguez 65 69 65 +4 0.0 -
2 Papa C Line 72 73 72 +1 0.0
3 Winter Royale 53 53 50 +3 6.0 -
4 Majestic Warrior 67 86 73 +13 0.0 -
5 Khanyisa Indlela 70 74 60 +14 9.5 -
6 Tobacconist 80 81 70 +11 0.0 -
6 Bayview Express 66 62 74 -12 0.0 -
8 Captain Who 66 65 62 +3 6.0 -
9 The Bund 73 69 76 -7 0.0 -
10 Tom Bombadil 63 56 71 -15 0.0 -
11 Head Gardener 53 66 43 +23 9.5 -
12 Kashkaval 69 74 59 +15 9.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points