Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: THE CENTENARY CLUB CAPE A STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
After The Rain
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Look For Hounds 4 59.0 1 0.00 5.0 108 106 106 -2 2 After The Rain 4 57.0 2 3.00 5.0 104 104 104 +0 3 Dean Street 3 52.0 3 4.25 8.0 94 87 87 -7 4 Silver Falcon 6 61.5 4 4.75 0.0 116 121 121 +5 5 Hoedspruit 4 60.0 5 8.00 5.0 112 108 108 -4 6 Tout A Fait 3 57.0 6 10.50 8.0 104 96 96 -8 99 Speed Machine 4 58.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 105 105 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Look For Hounds | 108 | 104 | 106 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | After The Rain Line | 104 | 98 | 104 | -6 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Dean Street | 94 | 102 | 87 | +15 | 8.0 | - | |
| 4 | Silver Falcon | 116 | 106 | 121 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Hoedspruit | 112 | 109 | 108 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tout A Fait | 104 | 80 | 96 | -16 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Speed Machine | - | 104 | 105 | -1 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points